Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Italian Cup
Italy · Italian Cup - Final
Olimpia MilanoHOME · -
72 : 772024.02.19 · 종료
Basket NapoliAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.9%
VALUE EDGE+56.9%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
Olimpia MilanoAnalysis MetricsBasket Napoli
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-0.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.33
175.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
175.50
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation5.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Olimpia Milano
W · 100-77W · 80-57L · 72-75L · 101-95L · 90-104
Basket Napoli
W · 74-80W · 76-67L · 83-68W · 74-60W · 67-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.18 | Basket Napoli | 82 : 98 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2026.04.19 | Olimpia Milano | 125 : 97 | Basket Napoli |
| 2026.01.13 | Basket Napoli | 71 : 77 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2025.04.01 | Basket Napoli | 95 : 87 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2024.10.27 | Olimpia Milano | 89 : 82 | Basket Napoli |
| 2024.02.19 | Olimpia Milano | 72 : 77 | Basket Napoli |