Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Italian Cup
Italy · Italian Cup - Semi-finals
Olimpia MilanoHOME · -
100 : 772024.02.18 · 종료
VeneziaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.8%
VALUE EDGE+56.8%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
Olimpia MilanoAnalysis MetricsVenezia
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-0.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
175.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.08
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation5.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Olimpia Milano
W · 80-57L · 72-75L · 101-95L · 90-104L · 83-95
Venezia
W · 86-71L · 90-80L · 93-76L · 74-80W · 73-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.21 | Venezia | 87 : 94 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2026.06.19 | Venezia | 72 : 86 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2026.06.17 | Venezia | 109 : 97 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2026.06.14 | Olimpia Milano | 92 : 79 | Venezia |
| 2026.06.12 | Olimpia Milano | 100 : 80 | Venezia |
| 2026.04.26 | Venezia | 85 : 90 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2025.10.27 | Olimpia Milano | 101 : 88 | Venezia |
| 2025.01.20 | Venezia | 85 : 72 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2024.11.11 | Olimpia Milano | 79 : 78 | Venezia |
| 2024.02.18 | Olimpia Milano | 100 : 77 | Venezia |