Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Italian Cup Italy · Italian Cup - Quarter-finals

BresciaHOME · -

74 : 802024.02.16 · 종료

Basket NapoliAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.5%

VALUE EDGE+61.5%

FAIR ODDS1.62

GRADEA

BresciaAnalysis MetricsBasket Napoli

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%

-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better +8.33

168.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 175.50

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.3 / 15

Prediction separation9.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Brescia

L · 77-69L · 86-76W · 84-82L · 65-74L · 90-64

Basket Napoli

W · 76-67L · 83-68W · 74-60W · 67-79W · 64-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.05	Brescia	100 : 85	Basket Napoli
2025.11.17	Basket Napoli	72 : 85	Brescia
2025.02.02	Basket Napoli	90 : 85	Brescia
2024.12.16	Brescia	97 : 84	Basket Napoli
2024.02.16	Brescia	74 : 80	Basket Napoli