Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Italian Cup Italy · Italian Cup - Quarter-finals

Virtus BolognaHOME · -

72 : 812024.02.16 · 종료

ReggianaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY35.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +64.5%

VALUE EDGE+64.5%

FAIR ODDS1.55

GRADEA

Virtus BolognaAnalysis MetricsReggiana

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+1.17 Point MarginHigher is better -2.25

181.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.25

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.1 / 15

Prediction separation12.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

64.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

35.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Virtus Bologna

L · 76-84W · 90-65W · 82-68W · 80-67W · 73-83

Reggiana

L · 90-74L · 69-72W · 92-72L · 74-72W · 68-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.03.23	Reggiana	84 : 70	Virtus Bologna
2025.11.10	Virtus Bologna	80 : 78	Reggiana
2025.04.01	Virtus Bologna	69 : 45	Reggiana
2025.01.06	Reggiana	57 : 69	Virtus Bologna
2024.02.16	Virtus Bologna	72 : 81	Reggiana