Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Italian Cup
Italy · Italian Cup - Quarter-finals
VeneziaHOME · -
86 : 712024.02.15 · 종료
PistoiaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.5%
VALUE EDGE+76.5%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEB
VeneziaAnalysis MetricsPistoia
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.83
174.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.17
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
62.5%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Venezia
L · 90-80L · 93-76L · 74-80W · 73-89W · 90-64
Pistoia
Collecting Data
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.28 | Venezia | 90 : 93 | Pistoia |
| 2024.10.21 | Pistoia | 64 : 77 | Venezia |
| 2024.02.15 | Venezia | 86 : 71 | Pistoia |