Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Italian Cup
Italy · Italian Cup - Quarter-finals
Olimpia MilanoHOME · -
80 : 572024.02.15 · 종료
TrentoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.6%
VALUE EDGE+73.6%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
Olimpia MilanoAnalysis MetricsTrento
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-0.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.42
175.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.92
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Olimpia Milano
L · 72-75L · 101-95L · 90-104L · 83-95L · 92-89
Trento
W · 72-61L · 89-87W · 79-76L · 94-88L · 74-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.09 | Olimpia Milano | 88 : 86 | Trento |
| 2026.05.11 | Trento | 84 : 74 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2025.12.08 | Olimpia Milano | 94 : 90 | Trento |
| 2025.05.25 | Olimpia Milano | 89 : 82 | Trento |
| 2025.05.23 | Olimpia Milano | 107 : 79 | Trento |
| 2025.05.20 | Trento | 70 : 67 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2025.05.18 | Trento | 70 : 73 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2025.03.24 | Olimpia Milano | 89 : 87 | Trento |
| 2024.11.04 | Trento | 91 : 57 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2024.02.15 | Olimpia Milano | 80 : 57 | Trento |