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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Coppa Italia Women Italy · Coppa Italia Women - Quarter-finals
Ragusa WHOME · -
67 : 712022.03.25 · 종료
Lucca WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.5%
VALUE EDGE+69.5%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
Ragusa WAnalysis MetricsLucca W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-1.58 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08
124.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 128.92
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ragusa W
L · 99-57L · 87-73L · 69-66L · 55-65W · 56-52
Lucca W
L · 45-69L · 54-46L · 51-62L · 75-58W · 75-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.03.25Ragusa W67 : 71Lucca W
2015.04.09Lucca W45 : 69Ragusa W
2015.04.04Ragusa W54 : 46Lucca W
2015.02.02Ragusa W67 : 51Lucca W
2014.10.27Lucca W45 : 72Ragusa W