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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

A2 - Play Offs Italy · A2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Casale MonferratoHOME · -
53 : 602015.05.17 · 종료
AgrigentoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.5%
VALUE EDGE+64.5%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Casale MonferratoAnalysis MetricsAgrigento
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+2.33 Point MarginHigher is better +2.42
166.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.08
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation12.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casale Monferrato
W · 76-80L · 74-71W · 76-67W · 71-60
Agrigento
W · 83-80W · 75-63W · 75-83L · 84-76W · 79-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2019.03.25Agrigento81 : 88Casale Monferrato
2018.12.10Casale Monferrato66 : 56Agrigento
2015.05.24Agrigento80 : 72Casale Monferrato
2015.05.22Agrigento69 : 71Casale Monferrato
2015.05.19Casale Monferrato66 : 72Agrigento
2015.05.17Casale Monferrato53 : 60Agrigento