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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

A2 - Play Offs Italy · A2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
TriesteHOME · -
85 : 842015.05.09 · 종료
BresciaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.3%
VALUE EDGE+51.3%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
TriesteAnalysis MetricsBrescia
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+1.92 Point MarginHigher is better -2.75
176.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation1.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Trieste
L · 79-77L · 86-78W · 71-61W · 73-80L · 68-75
Brescia
W · 79-77W · 86-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.26Brescia90 : 75Trieste
2026.05.24Trieste83 : 77Brescia
2026.05.22Trieste80 : 84Brescia
2026.05.19Brescia90 : 82Trieste
2026.05.17Brescia90 : 92Trieste
2026.04.20Trieste82 : 86Brescia
2025.11.10Brescia98 : 75Trieste
2025.05.23Trieste70 : 80Brescia
2025.05.20Brescia92 : 103Trieste
2025.05.18Brescia89 : 77Trieste