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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

A2 - Play Offs Italy · A2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Casale MonferratoHOME · -
76 : 672015.05.05 · 종료
BiellaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.7%
VALUE EDGE+80.7%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
Casale MonferratoAnalysis MetricsBiella
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+2.33 Point MarginHigher is better +2.83
166.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 146.83
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casale Monferrato
W · 71-60
Biella
L · 71-60W · 76-68L · 70-67W · 90-83L · 83-53

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2019.04.21Biella66 : 65Casale Monferrato
2019.01.07Casale Monferrato57 : 65Biella
2015.05.10Biella76 : 80Casale Monferrato
2015.05.08Biella74 : 71Casale Monferrato
2015.05.05Casale Monferrato76 : 67Biella
2015.05.03Casale Monferrato71 : 60Biella