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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

A2 - Play Offs Italy
TriesteHOME · -
71 : 612015.05.01 · 종료
FerraraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.3%
VALUE EDGE+61.3%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
TriesteAnalysis MetricsFerrara
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+1.92 Point MarginHigher is better -0.42
176.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.92
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Trieste
W · 73-80L · 68-75
Ferrara
L · 73-80W · 68-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.05.01Trieste71 : 61Ferrara
2015.04.27Ferrara73 : 80Trieste
2015.04.24Trieste68 : 75Ferrara