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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

A2 - Play Offs Italy
CagliariHOME · -
82 : 642015.04.30 · 종료
RecanatiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW48 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +64.7%
VALUE EDGE+64.7%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADED
CagliariAnalysis MetricsRecanati
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-6.00 Point MarginHigher is better -2.00
166.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.00
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

48/100 LOW
Data coverage12.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form8.8 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation12.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence2.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
64.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cagliari
W · 78-91L · 91-100
Recanati
L · 78-91W · 91-100

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.04.30Cagliari82 : 64Recanati
2015.04.27Recanati78 : 91Cagliari
2015.04.24Cagliari91 : 100Recanati