Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
A2 - Play Offs
Italy
FerraraHOME · -
73 : 802015.04.27 · 종료
TriesteAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.1%
VALUE EDGE+55.1%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
FerraraAnalysis MetricsTrieste
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-0.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.92
151.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.92
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ferrara
W · 68-75
Trieste
L · 68-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.05.01 | Trieste | 71 : 61 | Ferrara |
| 2015.04.27 | Ferrara | 73 : 80 | Trieste |
| 2015.04.24 | Trieste | 68 : 75 | Ferrara |