Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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A2 - Play Offs Italy

TreviglioHOME · -

70 : 672015.04.27 · 종료

BiellaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.4%

VALUE EDGE+59.4%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEA

TreviglioAnalysis MetricsBiella

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+1.33 Point MarginHigher is better +2.83

139.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 146.83

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%

2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.3 / 15

Prediction separation8.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Treviglio

L · 90-83

Biella

W · 90-83L · 83-53W · 65-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2019.11.22	Treviglio	53 : 60	Biella
2019.02.04	Treviglio	80 : 81	Biella
2018.10.29	Biella	88 : 67	Treviglio
2015.04.30	Biella	76 : 68	Treviglio
2015.04.27	Treviglio	70 : 67	Biella
2015.04.24	Biella	90 : 83	Treviglio