Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Israel · 31
Hapoel HolonHOME · -
89 : 722016.05.03 · 종료
Nes ZionaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.8%
VALUE EDGE+61.8%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Hapoel HolonAnalysis MetricsNes Ziona
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.92
166.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.25
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation10.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel Holon
W · 80-98L · 90-85L · 92-99L · 86-81W · 88-76
Nes Ziona
L · 86-87L · 77-67W · 70-63W · 70-80L · 103-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.11 | Nes Ziona | 77 : 72 | Hapoel Holon |
| 2024.03.24 | Nes Ziona | 74 : 76 | Hapoel Holon |
| 2024.03.08 | Hapoel Holon | 81 : 73 | Nes Ziona |
| 2016.05.03 | Hapoel Holon | 89 : 72 | Nes Ziona |
| 2016.01.18 | Hapoel Holon | 80 : 87 | Nes Ziona |
| 2015.11.09 | Nes Ziona | 92 : 76 | Hapoel Holon |