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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 28
Hapoel M. JerusalemHOME · -
99 : 772016.04.28 · 종료
Ironi NahariyaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +75.2%
VALUE EDGE+75.2%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEA
Hapoel M. JerusalemAnalysis MetricsIroni Nahariya
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+10.50 Point MarginHigher is better +9.33
163.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.83
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
75.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
24.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
W · 96-81W · 65-97W · 66-81W · 89-78W · 73-66
Ironi Nahariya
W · 86-85L · 70-80L · 88-76L · 78-71L · 93-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.28Hapoel M. Jerusalem99 : 77Ironi Nahariya
2016.02.01Hapoel M. Jerusalem73 : 71Ironi Nahariya
2015.11.16Ironi Nahariya72 : 67Hapoel M. Jerusalem