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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 26
Hapoel Tel AvivHOME · -
81 : 782016.04.05 · 종료
Maccabi Kiryat GatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.1%
VALUE EDGE+64.1%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
Hapoel Tel AvivAnalysis MetricsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+6.42 Point MarginHigher is better -2.58
172.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.08
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation12.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
W · 103-94L · 101-80W · 68-84L · 84-83L · 72-67
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
W · 77-76W · 86-87L · 86-84W · 101-78L · 88-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.05Hapoel Tel Aviv81 : 78Maccabi Kiryat Gat
2016.02.02Maccabi Kiryat Gat90 : 79Hapoel Tel Aviv
2015.11.18Hapoel Tel Aviv83 : 70Maccabi Kiryat Gat