Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Super League Israel · 26

Hapoel M. JerusalemHOME · -

89 : 782016.04.03 · 종료

Bnei HerzliyaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY21.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +78.6%

VALUE EDGE+78.6%

FAIR ODDS1.27

GRADEA

Hapoel M. JerusalemAnalysis MetricsBnei Herzliya

83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+10.50 Point MarginHigher is better -3.17

163.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.83

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

78.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

21.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

W · 73-66W · 95-64W · 100-80L · 101-78W · 72-67

Bnei Herzliya

W · 103-79L · 83-76W · 101-80L · 100-80W · 101-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2016.04.03	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	89 : 78	Bnei Herzliya
2016.03.08	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	100 : 80	Bnei Herzliya
2015.12.14	Bnei Herzliya	75 : 81	Hapoel M. Jerusalem
2011.03.21	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	99 : 90	Bnei Herzliya
2010.10.19	Bnei Herzliya	81 : 76	Hapoel M. Jerusalem