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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 26
Hapoel HolonHOME · -
88 : 762016.04.03 · 종료
Ironi NahariyaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.8%
VALUE EDGE+52.8%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
Hapoel HolonAnalysis MetricsIroni Nahariya
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-4.00 Point MarginHigher is better +9.33
166.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.83
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation2.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel Holon
L · 74-51W · 83-76L · 81-67W · 86-84W · 84-83
Ironi Nahariya
L · 78-71L · 93-85W · 71-61L · 78-66W · 75-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.03Hapoel Holon88 : 76Ironi Nahariya
2016.02.09Ironi Nahariya75 : 71Hapoel Holon
2015.11.24Hapoel Holon61 : 70Ironi Nahariya
2009.02.17Hapoel Holon79 : 76Ironi Nahariya