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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 23
Hapoel M. JerusalemHOME · -
95 : 642016.03.13 · 종료
Maccabi AshdodAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +72.2%
VALUE EDGE+72.2%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADES
Hapoel M. JerusalemAnalysis MetricsMaccabi Ashdod
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+10.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.67
163.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.67
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
72.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
27.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
W · 100-80L · 101-78W · 72-67W · 73-71L · 72-82
Maccabi Ashdod
W · 90-83L · 101-93W · 86-84L · 88-84W · 91-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.13Hapoel M. Jerusalem95 : 64Maccabi Ashdod
2015.12.21Maccabi Ashdod80 : 76Hapoel M. Jerusalem
2015.10.12Hapoel M. Jerusalem91 : 76Maccabi Ashdod
2011.10.10Hapoel M. Jerusalem75 : 64Maccabi Ashdod
2011.05.12Hapoel M. Jerusalem86 : 76Maccabi Ashdod
2011.05.06Maccabi Ashdod68 : 69Hapoel M. Jerusalem
2011.04.29Hapoel M. Jerusalem90 : 66Maccabi Ashdod
2011.04.14Hapoel M. Jerusalem78 : 86Maccabi Ashdod
2010.12.27Maccabi Ashdod98 : 75Hapoel M. Jerusalem
2010.10.25Hapoel M. Jerusalem98 : 83Maccabi Ashdod