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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 12
Hapoel Tel AvivHOME · -
88 : 942015.12.22 · 종료
Nes ZionaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.3%
VALUE EDGE+71.3%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Hapoel Tel AvivAnalysis MetricsNes Ziona
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+5.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.75
173.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.58
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
L · 77-90W · 78-63L · 79-81L · 70-68W · 83-70
Nes Ziona
L · 88-79W · 87-77L · 74-57L · 65-68L · 74-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.04Hapoel Tel Aviv79 : 76Nes Ziona
2024.04.25Nes Ziona63 : 102Hapoel Tel Aviv
2023.12.15Hapoel Tel Aviv97 : 94Nes Ziona
2016.04.25Nes Ziona86 : 87Hapoel Tel Aviv
2015.12.22Hapoel Tel Aviv88 : 94Nes Ziona
2015.10.13Nes Ziona66 : 82Hapoel Tel Aviv