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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 10
Hapoel Tel AvivHOME · -
78 : 632015.12.07 · 종료
Hapoel HolonAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.8%
VALUE EDGE+62.8%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
Hapoel Tel AvivAnalysis MetricsHapoel Holon
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+5.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00
173.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.50
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation11.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
L · 79-81L · 70-68W · 83-70L · 91-86W · 61-84
Hapoel Holon
W · 81-78L · 61-70L · 66-62L · 92-76L · 73-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.08Hapoel Tel Aviv79 : 59Hapoel Holon
2024.03.03Hapoel Tel Aviv90 : 78Hapoel Holon
2024.02.18Hapoel Holon98 : 90Hapoel Tel Aviv
2016.04.19Hapoel Tel Aviv90 : 85Hapoel Holon
2016.02.28Hapoel Holon84 : 83Hapoel Tel Aviv
2015.12.07Hapoel Tel Aviv78 : 63Hapoel Holon