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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 27
H. AfulaHOME · -
82 : 852024.05.08 · 종료
Galil ElyonAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.3%
VALUE EDGE+61.3%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEB
H. AfulaAnalysis MetricsGalil Elyon
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-4.42 Point MarginHigher is better +6.75
158.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 170.92
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
4.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 11.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
H. Afula
W · 85-74L · 90-73W · 84-78L · 67-65L · 81-78
Galil Elyon
L · 76-83L · 71-80L · 76-112L · 71-92L · 67-103

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.08H. Afula82 : 85Galil Elyon
2024.03.07Galil Elyon79 : 94H. Afula