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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 27
Hapoel Tel AvivHOME · -
79 : 592024.05.08 · 종료
Hapoel HolonAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.6%
VALUE EDGE+71.6%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Hapoel Tel AvivAnalysis MetricsHapoel Holon
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+6.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00
172.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.33
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
5.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
W · 80-82W · 63-102L · 84-78L · 81-94W · 76-112
Hapoel Holon
W · 82-76L · 75-62W · 79-94L · 89-96L · 91-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.08Hapoel Tel Aviv79 : 59Hapoel Holon
2024.03.03Hapoel Tel Aviv90 : 78Hapoel Holon
2024.02.18Hapoel Holon98 : 90Hapoel Tel Aviv
2016.04.19Hapoel Tel Aviv90 : 85Hapoel Holon
2016.02.28Hapoel Holon84 : 83Hapoel Tel Aviv
2015.12.07Hapoel Tel Aviv78 : 63Hapoel Holon