Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Super League Israel · 32

H. AfulaHOME · -

85 : 742024.05.03 · 종료

Nes ZionaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY36.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +63.2%

VALUE EDGE+63.2%

FAIR ODDS1.58

GRADEA

H. AfulaAnalysis MetricsNes Ziona

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better -4.75

159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.58

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

7.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.7일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.6 / 15

Prediction separation11.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

63.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

36.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

H. Afula

L · 90-73W · 84-78L · 67-65L · 81-78L · 88-79

Nes Ziona

L · 63-102L · 86-82W · 98-95L · 84-80W · 88-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.03	H. Afula	85 : 74	Nes Ziona
2024.03.28	Nes Ziona	88 : 79	H. Afula
2024.01.09	H. Afula	82 : 64	Nes Ziona
2023.10.06	Nes Ziona	77 : 73	H. Afula