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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 23
Hapoel JerusalemHOME · -
81 : 782024.04.08 · 종료
H. AfulaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.6%
VALUE EDGE+62.6%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
Hapoel JerusalemAnalysis MetricsH. Afula
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+11.08 Point MarginHigher is better -4.42
155.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.08
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 11.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation10.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel Jerusalem
W · 84-79W · 89-69W · 80-85L · 64-91L · 90-78
H. Afula
L · 88-79L · 80-97L · 95-78W · 72-60W · 79-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.08Hapoel Jerusalem81 : 78H. Afula
2023.12.08H. Afula105 : 65Hapoel Jerusalem