Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Israel · 20
H. AfulaHOME · -
72 : 602024.03.11 · 종료
Hapoel HolonAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.9%
VALUE EDGE+60.9%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEB
H. AfulaAnalysis MetricsHapoel Holon
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-5.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
161.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.33
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
H. Afula
W · 79-94W · 91-73L · 93-81W · 91-76W · 65-64
Hapoel Holon
W · 81-73L · 90-78W · 72-73W · 98-90W · 71-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.11 | H. Afula | 72 : 60 | Hapoel Holon |
| 2023.12.03 | Hapoel Holon | 85 : 80 | H. Afula |