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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 16
Galil ElyonHOME · -
79 : 942024.03.07 · 종료
H. AfulaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.9%
VALUE EDGE+55.9%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
Galil ElyonAnalysis MetricsH. Afula
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+6.75 Point MarginHigher is better -5.67
170.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.33
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation5.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Galil Elyon
L · 69-72L · 89-81L · 101-108W · 87-91L · 89-77
H. Afula
W · 91-73L · 93-81W · 91-76W · 65-64L · 81-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.08H. Afula82 : 85Galil Elyon
2024.03.07Galil Elyon79 : 94H. Afula