Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Super League Israel · 15

H. AfulaHOME · -

82 : 642024.01.09 · 종료

Nes ZionaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY51.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +51.5%

VALUE EDGE+51.5%

FAIR ODDS1.94

GRADEA

H. AfulaAnalysis MetricsNes Ziona

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-5.67 Point MarginHigher is better -4.75

161.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.58

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation1.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

48.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

51.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

H. Afula

L · 71-63L · 73-76L · 80-94W · 105-65L · 85-80

Nes Ziona

W · 68-99W · 86-74L · 97-94L · 90-76W · 82-111

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.03	H. Afula	85 : 74	Nes Ziona
2024.03.28	Nes Ziona	88 : 79	H. Afula
2024.01.09	H. Afula	82 : 64	Nes Ziona
2023.10.06	Nes Ziona	77 : 73	H. Afula