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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 14
Hapoel JerusalemHOME · -
77 : 712024.01.02 · 종료
Hapoel Beer ShevaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +70.2%
VALUE EDGE+70.2%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADES
Hapoel JerusalemAnalysis MetricsHapoel Beer Sheva
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+11.08 Point MarginHigher is better -6.08
155.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.42
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
8.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
70.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel Jerusalem
L · 109-100W · 81-73L · 105-65L · 79-73
Hapoel Beer Sheva
L · 75-87W · 96-85L · 92-72L · 103-80W · 90-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.18Hapoel Jerusalem88 : 74Hapoel Beer Sheva
2026.09.18Hapoel Jerusalem83 : 69Hapoel Beer Sheva
2024.05.10Hapoel Beer Sheva69 : 74Hapoel Jerusalem
2024.01.29Hapoel Beer Sheva74 : 79Hapoel Jerusalem
2024.01.02Hapoel Jerusalem77 : 71Hapoel Beer Sheva