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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 14
Hapoel Tel AvivHOME · -
87 : 912023.12.31 · 종료
Ironi Kiryat AtaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.1%
VALUE EDGE+64.1%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADES
Hapoel Tel AvivAnalysis MetricsIroni Kiryat Ata
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+5.25 Point MarginHigher is better -9.75
173.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 177.25
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation12.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
W · 109-100W · 112-76W · 97-94W · 90-66W · 78-95
Ironi Kiryat Ata
W · 86-82L · 81-95W · 92-72W · 73-76L · 71-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.06.11Hapoel Tel Aviv100 : 83Ironi Kiryat Ata
2024.06.09Ironi Kiryat Ata62 : 70Hapoel Tel Aviv
2024.06.07Hapoel Tel Aviv79 : 82Ironi Kiryat Ata
2024.05.20Hapoel Tel Aviv98 : 77Ironi Kiryat Ata
2024.01.28Ironi Kiryat Ata89 : 97Hapoel Tel Aviv
2023.12.31Hapoel Tel Aviv87 : 91Ironi Kiryat Ata