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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Israel · 12
Hapoel Tel AvivHOME · -
109 : 1002023.12.25 · 종료
Hapoel JerusalemAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME85.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 89.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +85.2%
VALUE EDGE+85.2%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEB
Hapoel Tel AvivAnalysis MetricsHapoel Jerusalem
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%
+5.25 Point MarginHigher is better +11.08
173.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.92
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
85.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
14.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
W · 112-76W · 97-94W · 90-66W · 78-95L · 82-74
Hapoel Jerusalem
W · 81-73L · 105-65L · 79-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.26Hapoel Tel Aviv60 : 70Hapoel Jerusalem
2024.05.26Hapoel Jerusalem82 : 71Hapoel Tel Aviv
2024.04.01Hapoel Jerusalem84 : 79Hapoel Tel Aviv
2024.03.17Hapoel Jerusalem64 : 91Hapoel Tel Aviv
2023.12.25Hapoel Tel Aviv109 : 100Hapoel Jerusalem