Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Israel · 3
H. AfulaHOME · -
105 : 652023.12.08 · 종료
Hapoel JerusalemAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.3%
VALUE EDGE+75.3%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEB
H. AfulaAnalysis MetricsHapoel Jerusalem
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-5.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.08
161.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.92
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
H. Afula
L · 85-80W · 81-90L · 77-73L · 79-70L · 76-87
Hapoel Jerusalem
L · 79-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.08 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 81 : 78 | H. Afula |
| 2023.12.08 | H. Afula | 105 : 65 | Hapoel Jerusalem |