Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Israel · 9
Hapoel HolonHOME · -
85 : 802023.12.03 · 종료
H. AfulaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.3%
VALUE EDGE+55.3%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
Hapoel HolonAnalysis MetricsH. Afula
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.67
168.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.33
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hapoel Holon
L · 62-74L · 91-83L · 77-88W · 64-97L · 92-77
H. Afula
W · 81-90L · 77-73L · 79-70L · 76-87L · 75-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.11 | H. Afula | 72 : 60 | Hapoel Holon |
| 2023.12.03 | Hapoel Holon | 85 : 80 | H. Afula |