Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Super League Israel · 1

Nes ZionaHOME · -

77 : 732023.10.06 · 종료

H. AfulaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY50.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +50.2%

VALUE EDGE+50.2%

FAIR ODDS1.99

GRADEA

Nes ZionaAnalysis MetricsH. Afula

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-4.75 Point MarginHigher is better -5.67

166.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.33

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.2 / 15

Prediction separation0.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

49.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

50.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Nes Ziona

L · 80-78L · 77-90W · 78-97W · 87-55W · 90-84

H. Afula

L · 79-70L · 76-87L · 75-72W · 71-94W · 86-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.03	H. Afula	85 : 74	Nes Ziona
2024.03.28	Nes Ziona	88 : 79	H. Afula
2024.01.09	H. Afula	82 : 64	Nes Ziona
2023.10.06	Nes Ziona	77 : 73	H. Afula