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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga Leumit Israel · 5
Migdal HaemekHOME · -
87 : 882022.04.19 · 종료
Elitzur AshkelonAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.9%
VALUE EDGE+58.9%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
Migdal HaemekAnalysis MetricsElitzur Ashkelon
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-7.33 Point MarginHigher is better -8.83
178.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.33
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Migdal Haemek
L · 106-88W · 82-67L · 70-84W · 87-76W · 87-93
Elitzur Ashkelon
L · 81-88L · 99-80W · 72-67L · 87-92L · 101-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.01.21Migdal Haemek88 : 80Elitzur Ashkelon
2025.10.16Elitzur Ashkelon108 : 98Migdal Haemek
2025.04.11Elitzur Ashkelon99 : 86Migdal Haemek
2025.02.24Migdal Haemek77 : 68Elitzur Ashkelon
2024.12.09Elitzur Ashkelon87 : 86Migdal Haemek
2022.04.19Migdal Haemek87 : 88Elitzur Ashkelon
2022.02.10Migdal Haemek85 : 101Elitzur Ashkelon
2021.11.17Elitzur Ashkelon87 : 73Migdal Haemek