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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga Leumit Israel · 28
Elitzur AshkelonHOME · -
80 : 782022.03.16 · 종료
Ironi NahariyaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +66.9%
VALUE EDGE+66.9%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
Elitzur AshkelonAnalysis MetricsIroni Nahariya
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-8.83 Point MarginHigher is better +6.67
162.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.33
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation14.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
33.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
66.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Elitzur Ashkelon
W · 68-79W · 88-86W · 59-75L · 84-94L · 90-78
Ironi Nahariya
W · 71-68W · 75-83W · 88-97W · 95-80W · 82-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.30Elitzur Ashkelon109 : 104Ironi Nahariya
2026.04.17Elitzur Ashkelon68 : 90Ironi Nahariya
2025.12.08Ironi Nahariya85 : 65Elitzur Ashkelon
2025.01.29Elitzur Ashkelon71 : 64Ironi Nahariya
2024.12.23Ironi Nahariya97 : 94Elitzur Ashkelon
2022.03.16Elitzur Ashkelon80 : 78Ironi Nahariya
2021.12.27Ironi Nahariya87 : 63Elitzur Ashkelon