경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
FAW Championship
Wales · South - 9
Baglan DragonsHOME · 3.01
1 : 22026.09.26 · 종료
Carmarthen TownAWAY · 2.01
HOME · 현재 순위
5위
승점 13
· 8경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
6위
승점 11
· 7경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME8.6%
DRAW11.3%
AWAY80.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH79 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME29.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승40.3%표본 77경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승43.2%현재 이동 +3.8%
OPEN → NOW2.90 → 3.01배당 업데이트 2026-09-25 23:52:22
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Baglan DragonsL · 2-1W · 2-1L · 0-1W · 3-1W · 0-1
Carmarthen TownD · 2-2L · 2-3D · 2-2L · 2-4W · 3-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
-1.09%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
+1.93%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
+0.38%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-25 11:42:18 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 11:52:18 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 12:02:22 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 12:12:19 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 12:22:19 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 12:32:18 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 12:42:18 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 12:52:16 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 13:02:15 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 13:12:18 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 13:22:16 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 13:32:15 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 13:42:18 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 13:52:19 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 14:02:17 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 14:12:18 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 14:22:17 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 14:32:18 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 14:42:18 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 14:52:18 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 15:02:21 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 15:12:18 | 2.99 | 3.48 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-25 15:12:19 | 3.05 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 15:22:18 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 15:32:17 | 3.01 | 3.46 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-25 15:32:18 | 3.05 | 3.52 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 15:42:19 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 15:52:16 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-25 15:52:17 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 16:02:18 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 16:12:19 | 2.90 | 3.53 | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-25 16:12:20 | 3.04 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 16:22:19 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 16:32:16 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 16:42:18 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 16:52:19 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 17:02:20 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 17:12:16 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 17:22:19 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 17:32:18 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 17:42:18 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 17:52:18 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 18:02:19 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 18:12:18 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 18:22:21 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 18:32:21 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 18:42:17 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 18:52:18 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 19:02:14 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 19:12:18 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 19:22:17 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 19:32:16 | 3.00 | 3.57 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 19:32:17 | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.02 |
| 2026-09-25 19:42:16 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 19:52:19 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 20:02:14 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 20:12:17 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 20:22:16 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 20:32:19 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 20:42:16 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 20:52:18 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 21:02:17 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 21:12:17 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 21:22:19 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 21:32:19 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 21:42:17 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 21:52:17 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 22:02:18 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 22:12:19 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 22:22:22 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 22:32:28 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 22:42:19 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 22:52:19 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 23:02:18 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 23:12:20 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 23:22:15 | 2.97 | 3.59 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 23:22:16 | 3.05 | 3.51 | 2.02 |
| 2026-09-25 23:32:24 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 23:42:19 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-25 23:52:22 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.26 | Baglan Dragons | 1 : 2 | Carmarthen Town |
| 2026.03.28 | Baglan Dragons | 0 : 7 | Carmarthen Town |
| 2025.08.25 | Carmarthen Town | 0 : 0 | Baglan Dragons |