경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

FAW Championship Wales · North - 8

Denbigh TownHOME · 4.33

5 : 22026.09.12 · 종료

Bala TownAWAY · 1.57

HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 4 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 3위 승점 15 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME12.7%

DRAW17.8%

AWAY69.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +11.9%

VALUE EDGE+11.9%

FAIR ODDS1.44

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -29.9%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -8.3%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -25.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -10.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Denbigh Town분석 지표Bala Town

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.75

2.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.75

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 80.0%

6.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.2 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME20.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승19.4%표본 31경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승29.6%현재 이동 +20.3%

OPEN → NOW3.60 → 4.33배당 업데이트 2026-09-11 23:42:22

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

12.7%

DRAW

17.8%

AWAY

69.5%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Denbigh Town

L · 1-0L · 1-3D · 2-2L · 2-3L · 2-1

Bala Town

W · 1-2L · 0-1W · 1-3W · 3-0W · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.61

→

CURRENT4.35

+20.75%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.98

→

CURRENT4.12

+3.54%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.74

→

CURRENT1.56

-10.26%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-11 02:02:30	3.61	3.98	1.74
2026-09-11 02:22:26	3.61	3.98	1.74
2026-09-11 02:22:28	4.18	4.12	1.61
2026-09-11 02:22:29	4.10	4.20	1.67
2026-09-11 02:42:29	3.61	3.98	1.74
2026-09-11 02:42:32	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 03:02:29	3.61	3.98	1.74
2026-09-11 03:02:31	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 03:22:30	3.61	3.98	1.74
2026-09-11 03:22:32	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 03:42:29	3.61	3.98	1.74
2026-09-11 03:42:32	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 04:02:27	3.61	3.98	1.74
2026-09-11 04:02:30	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 04:22:34	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 04:42:31	4.22	4.12	1.59
2026-09-11 04:42:32	4.05	4.15	1.67
2026-09-11 05:02:31	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 05:22:31	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 05:42:31	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 06:02:31	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 06:22:31	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 06:42:31	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 07:02:30	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 07:22:29	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 07:42:29	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 08:02:29	4.17	4.13	1.62
2026-09-11 08:22:26	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 08:42:24	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 09:02:25	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 09:22:24	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 09:42:23	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 10:02:24	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 10:22:24	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 10:42:26	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 11:02:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 11:22:25	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 11:42:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 12:02:21	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 12:22:21	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 12:42:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 13:02:20	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 13:22:21	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 13:42:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 14:02:21	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 14:22:20	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 14:42:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 15:02:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 15:22:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 15:42:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 16:02:21	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 16:22:20	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 16:42:21	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 17:02:21	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 17:22:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 17:42:20	4.33	3.80	1.57
2026-09-11 17:42:21	4.36	4.21	1.56
2026-09-11 18:02:20	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 18:22:20	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 18:42:21	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 19:02:20	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 19:22:23	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 19:22:24	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 19:42:21	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 19:42:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 20:02:19	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 20:02:20	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 20:22:19	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 20:42:22	4.29	4.11	1.57
2026-09-11 20:42:23	4.61	4.20	1.55
2026-09-11 21:02:24	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 21:22:21	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 21:42:23	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 22:02:20	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 22:22:21	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 22:42:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 23:02:22	4.29	4.11	1.57
2026-09-11 23:02:23	4.61	4.20	1.55
2026-09-11 23:22:22	4.35	4.12	1.56
2026-09-11 23:42:22	4.35	4.12	1.56

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.12	Denbigh Town	5 : 2	Bala Town