경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

FAW Championship Wales · South - 6

Carmarthen TownHOME · 2.05

2 : 32026.08.31 · 종료

Trethomas BluebirdsAWAY · 2.89

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 10 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 10위 승점 5 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.0%

DRAW19.9%

AWAY15.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +20.6%

VALUE EDGE+20.6%

FAIR ODDS1.54

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +25.7%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +22.2%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +10.5%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +6.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Carmarthen Town분석 지표Trethomas Bluebirds

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

2.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

2.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.08

37.5% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

2.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 2.8일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.7 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승47.4%표본 152경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.1%현재 이동 +0.5%

OPEN → NOW2.04 → 2.05배당 업데이트 2026-08-31 23:42:50

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

65.0%

DRAW

19.9%

AWAY

15.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Carmarthen Town

D · 2-2L · 2-4W · 3-1W · 1-2W · 4-3

Trethomas Bluebirds

W · 5-2L · 2-1L · 2-4D · 1-1D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.02

→

CURRENT2.02

+0.15%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.80

→

CURRENT3.81

+0.21%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.89

→

CURRENT2.88

-0.31%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-31 08:02:51	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 08:23:46	2.01	3.78	2.89
2026-08-31 08:23:47	2.07	3.88	2.90
2026-08-31 08:42:54	2.00	3.79	2.90
2026-08-31 08:42:55	2.06	3.83	2.87
2026-08-31 09:03:08	2.00	3.60	2.88
2026-08-31 09:03:09	2.02	3.83	2.89
2026-08-31 09:23:22	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 12:53:26	2.00	3.68	2.91
2026-08-31 12:53:27	2.03	3.86	2.88
2026-08-31 13:03:09	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 13:12:52	2.00	3.60	2.88
2026-08-31 13:12:53	2.02	3.83	2.89
2026-08-31 13:23:37	2.00	3.71	2.91
2026-08-31 13:23:38	2.04	3.87	2.88
2026-08-31 13:33:24	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 13:42:22	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 13:53:15	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 14:02:49	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 14:12:51	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 14:23:41	2.00	3.71	2.91
2026-08-31 14:23:42	2.04	3.87	2.88
2026-08-31 14:33:20	2.01	3.77	2.87
2026-08-31 14:33:21	2.04	3.84	2.91
2026-08-31 14:42:39	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 14:53:15	2.00	3.71	2.91
2026-08-31 14:53:16	2.04	3.87	2.88
2026-08-31 15:03:05	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 15:12:38	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 15:23:42	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 15:33:00	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 15:42:56	2.02	3.80	2.89
2026-08-31 15:43:05	2.03	3.63	2.86
2026-08-31 15:43:06	2.02	3.86	2.89
2026-08-31 15:53:48	2.02	3.79	2.88
2026-08-31 16:03:19	2.02	3.79	2.88
2026-08-31 16:13:04	2.02	3.79	2.88
2026-08-31 16:24:25	2.01	3.77	2.88
2026-08-31 16:24:26	2.06	3.83	2.87
2026-08-31 16:34:04	2.02	3.79	2.88
2026-08-31 16:42:46	2.02	3.77	2.88
2026-08-31 16:42:47	2.07	3.95	2.90
2026-08-31 16:53:38	2.02	3.77	2.88
2026-08-31 16:53:39	2.07	3.95	2.90
2026-08-31 17:03:13	2.03	3.63	2.86
2026-08-31 17:03:14	2.02	3.86	2.89
2026-08-31 17:13:15	2.02	3.79	2.88
2026-08-31 17:23:50	2.01	3.69	2.89
2026-08-31 17:23:51	2.03	3.86	2.88
2026-08-31 17:33:11	2.02	3.79	2.88
2026-08-31 17:43:00	2.01	3.76	2.86
2026-08-31 17:43:01	2.04	3.84	2.91
2026-08-31 17:53:44	2.02	3.79	2.88
2026-08-31 18:03:10	2.02	3.79	2.88
2026-08-31 18:23:31	2.02	3.79	2.88
2026-08-31 18:43:03	2.05	3.75	2.75
2026-08-31 18:43:04	2.02	3.81	2.89
2026-08-31 19:03:18	2.02	3.80	2.88
2026-08-31 19:24:13	2.01	3.70	2.88
2026-08-31 19:24:14	2.03	3.87	2.88
2026-08-31 19:43:04	2.03	3.65	2.84
2026-08-31 19:43:05	2.02	3.87	2.89
2026-08-31 20:03:16	2.02	3.80	2.88
2026-08-31 20:23:40	2.01	3.70	2.88
2026-08-31 20:23:41	2.03	3.87	2.88
2026-08-31 20:43:22	2.02	3.80	2.88
2026-08-31 21:03:14	2.01	3.78	2.87
2026-08-31 21:03:15	2.07	3.88	2.90
2026-08-31 21:23:45	2.00	3.78	2.88
2026-08-31 21:23:46	2.06	3.85	2.87
2026-08-31 21:43:03	2.05	3.75	2.75
2026-08-31 21:43:04	2.02	3.82	2.89
2026-08-31 22:03:41	2.02	3.81	2.88
2026-08-31 22:23:49	2.02	3.81	2.88
2026-08-31 22:43:05	2.01	3.70	2.88
2026-08-31 22:43:06	2.03	3.88	2.88
2026-08-31 23:03:45	2.03	3.65	2.84
2026-08-31 23:03:46	2.02	3.88	2.90
2026-08-31 23:23:30	2.02	3.81	2.88
2026-08-31 23:42:50	2.02	3.81	2.88

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.31	Carmarthen Town	2 : 3	Trethomas Bluebirds
2026.03.07	Trethomas Bluebirds	4 : 5	Carmarthen Town
2025.11.08	Carmarthen Town	1 : 1	Trethomas Bluebirds