경기 상세 분석 종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Spain · Group 4 - 5
Ciudad de Lucena HOME · 1.85
1 : 0 2026.10.05 · 종료
Puente Genil AWAY · 3.80
HOME · 현재 순위
5위
승점 8
· 5경기
LEAGUE STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
15위
승점 4
· 5경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME 61.0%
DRAW 22.3%
AWAY 16.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW 34 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME 48.6% 현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승 46.2% 표본 171경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승 100.0% 표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승 47.1% 현재 이동 -0.5%
OPEN → NOW 1.86 → 1.85 배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:32:48
확률 구성 배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력 현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Ciudad de Lucena W · 0-3 L · 1-2 D · 1-1 D · 1-1
Puente Genil D · 0-0 L · 0-2 L · 2-1 W · 4-0 L · 1-0
배당 변화 히스토리 OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOME DRAW AWAY
+6.0% +3.0% 0.0% -3.0% -6.0% 10/03 00:15 10/04 10:53 10/04 12:34 10/04 13:52 10/04 15:32 HOME · 배당 1.87 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:18 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 09:03:04 HOME · 배당 1.82 · 변동 -2.37% · 2026-10-04 09:23:37 HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 +2.23% · 2026-10-04 09:23:38 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 09:53:04 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 10:12:23 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 10:33:12 HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 -2.99% · 2026-10-04 10:53:10 HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +1.52% · 2026-10-04 10:53:11 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 11:12:29 HOME · 배당 1.84 · 변동 -1.78% · 2026-10-04 11:33:02 HOME · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +3.30% · 2026-10-04 11:33:03 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 11:52:45 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 12:12:42 HOME · 배당 1.83 · 변동 -2.32% · 2026-10-04 12:34:40 HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.55% · 2026-10-04 12:34:41 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 12:52:44 HOME · 배당 1.83 · 변동 -2.32% · 2026-10-04 13:13:04 HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.55% · 2026-10-04 13:13:05 HOME · 배당 1.83 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-04 13:33:07 HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 13:33:08 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 13:52:45 HOME · 배당 1.82 · 변동 -2.37% · 2026-10-04 14:12:24 HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 +2.23% · 2026-10-04 14:12:25 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 14:32:34 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 14:53:16 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 15:12:23 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -0.98% · 2026-10-04 15:32:47 HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-10-04 15:32:48 DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:18 DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 -1.22% · 2026-10-04 09:03:04 DRAW · 배당 3.21 · 변동 -3.63% · 2026-10-04 09:23:37 DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +4.80% · 2026-10-04 09:23:38 DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 -1.22% · 2026-10-04 09:53:04 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.65% · 2026-10-04 10:12:23 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.65% · 2026-10-04 10:33:12 DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -4.27% · 2026-10-04 10:53:10 DRAW · 배당 3.40 · 변동 +1.85% · 2026-10-04 10:53:11 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.65% · 2026-10-04 11:12:29 DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 -1.50% · 2026-10-04 11:33:02 DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.55% · 2026-10-04 11:33:03 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.65% · 2026-10-04 11:52:45 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.65% · 2026-10-04 12:12:42 DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 -1.50% · 2026-10-04 12:34:40 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.71% · 2026-10-04 12:34:41 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.65% · 2026-10-04 12:52:44 DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 -1.50% · 2026-10-04 13:13:04 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.71% · 2026-10-04 13:13:05 DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 -1.35% · 2026-10-04 13:33:07 DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-04 13:33:08 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.65% · 2026-10-04 13:52:45 DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -4.23% · 2026-10-04 14:12:24 DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +4.80% · 2026-10-04 14:12:25 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.65% · 2026-10-04 14:32:34 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.65% · 2026-10-04 14:53:16 DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.65% · 2026-10-04 15:12:23 DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.55% · 2026-10-04 15:32:47 DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 -1.50% · 2026-10-04 15:32:48 AWAY · 배당 3.86 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:18 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 09:03:04 AWAY · 배당 3.78 · 변동 -1.84% · 2026-10-04 09:23:37 AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 +0.65% · 2026-10-04 09:23:38 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 09:53:04 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 10:12:23 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 10:33:12 AWAY · 배당 3.71 · 변동 -3.89% · 2026-10-04 10:53:10 AWAY · 배당 3.95 · 변동 +2.55% · 2026-10-04 10:53:11 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 11:12:29 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-10-04 11:33:02 AWAY · 배당 3.80 · 변동 -1.43% · 2026-10-04 11:33:03 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 11:52:45 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 12:12:42 AWAY · 배당 3.76 · 변동 -2.46% · 2026-10-04 12:34:40 AWAY · 배당 3.83 · 변동 -0.60% · 2026-10-04 12:34:41 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 12:52:44 AWAY · 배당 3.76 · 변동 -2.46% · 2026-10-04 13:13:04 AWAY · 배당 3.83 · 변동 -0.60% · 2026-10-04 13:13:05 AWAY · 배당 3.77 · 변동 -2.12% · 2026-10-04 13:33:07 AWAY · 배당 3.84 · 변동 -0.39% · 2026-10-04 13:33:08 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 13:52:45 AWAY · 배당 3.78 · 변동 -1.84% · 2026-10-04 14:12:24 AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 +0.65% · 2026-10-04 14:12:25 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 14:32:34 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 14:53:16 AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-10-04 15:12:23 AWAY · 배당 3.70 · 변동 -4.02% · 2026-10-04 15:32:47 AWAY · 배당 3.83 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-10-04 15:32:48
HOME29 SNAPSHOTS
-1.07%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW29 SNAPSHOTS
-1.50%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY29 SNAPSHOTS
-0.65%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기 수집시간 HOME DRAW AWAY 2026-10-03 00:15:18 1.87 3.34 3.86 2026-10-04 09:03:04 1.85 3.29 3.81 2026-10-04 09:23:37 1.82 3.21 3.78 2026-10-04 09:23:38 1.91 3.50 3.88 2026-10-04 09:53:04 1.85 3.29 3.81 2026-10-04 10:12:23 1.85 3.28 3.81 2026-10-04 10:33:12 1.85 3.28 3.81 2026-10-04 10:53:10 1.81 3.19 3.71 2026-10-04 10:53:11 1.90 3.40 3.95 2026-10-04 11:12:29 1.85 3.28 3.81 2026-10-04 11:33:02 1.84 3.29 3.81 2026-10-04 11:33:03 1.93 3.25 3.80 2026-10-04 11:52:45 1.85 3.28 3.81 2026-10-04 12:12:42 1.85 3.28 3.81 2026-10-04 12:34:40 1.83 3.29 3.76 2026-10-04 12:34:41 1.86 3.28 3.83 2026-10-04 12:52:44 1.85 3.28 3.81 2026-10-04 13:13:04 1.83 3.29 3.76 2026-10-04 13:13:05 1.86 3.28 3.83 2026-10-04 13:33:07 1.83 3.29 3.77 2026-10-04 13:33:08 1.86 3.27 3.84 2026-10-04 13:52:45 1.85 3.28 3.81 2026-10-04 14:12:24 1.82 3.19 3.78 2026-10-04 14:12:25 1.91 3.50 3.88 2026-10-04 14:32:34 1.85 3.28 3.81 2026-10-04 14:53:16 1.85 3.28 3.81 2026-10-04 15:12:23 1.85 3.28 3.81 2026-10-04 15:32:47 1.85 3.25 3.70 2026-10-04 15:32:48 1.85 3.29 3.83
상대전적 H2H 날짜 홈 결과 원정 2026.10.05 Ciudad de Lucena 1 : 0 Puente Genil