경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Spain · Group 3 - 4

OrihuelaHOME · 1.75

1 : 42026.09.27 · 종료

Castellón IIAWAY · 3.94

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 7 · 3경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 6 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME18.6%

DRAW17.1%

AWAY64.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH80 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 82/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +41.2%

VALUE EDGE+41.2%

FAIR ODDS1.56

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -17.5%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -13.9%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN +1.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -3.3%p

• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Orihuela분석 지표Castellón II

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33

1.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

28.6% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

6.3일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

80/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지16.3 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도6.0 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME51.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승54.9%표본 175경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.1%현재 이동 -0.6%

OPEN → NOW1.76 → 1.75배당 업데이트 2026-09-26 23:42:32

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

18.6%

DRAW

17.1%

AWAY

64.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Orihuela

D · 2-2L · 1-4W · 1-0W · 1-2L · 0-1

Castellón II

W · 1-2W · 3-0L · 0-1L · 1-2W · 0-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.79

→

CURRENT1.77

-0.98%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.30

→

CURRENT3.48

+5.53%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.00

→

CURRENT3.81

-4.81%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-25 00:15:28	1.79	3.30	4.00
2026-09-25 00:15:29	1.79	3.51	3.90
2026-09-26 00:02:35	1.77	3.53	3.96
2026-09-26 00:32:35	1.77	3.53	3.96
2026-09-26 00:52:35	1.77	3.53	3.96
2026-09-26 01:12:31	1.76	3.55	3.97
2026-09-26 01:12:32	1.80	3.49	3.94
2026-09-26 01:22:10	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 01:42:06	1.69	3.61	4.26
2026-09-26 01:42:07	1.69	3.69	4.34
2026-09-26 02:02:06	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 02:22:10	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 02:42:08	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 03:02:07	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 03:22:07	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 03:42:06	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 04:02:06	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 04:22:06	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 04:52:07	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 05:22:05	1.69	3.66	4.30
2026-09-26 05:22:06	1.72	3.60	4.35
2026-09-26 05:52:07	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 06:22:08	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 06:52:07	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 07:22:06	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 07:52:07	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 08:22:08	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 08:52:08	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 09:22:07	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 09:52:06	1.69	3.65	4.31
2026-09-26 10:22:06	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 10:52:08	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 11:22:08	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 11:52:07	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 12:22:07	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 12:52:06	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 13:22:07	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 13:52:08	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 14:22:07	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 14:52:06	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 15:22:07	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 15:42:06	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 16:02:07	1.73	3.60	4.09
2026-09-26 16:22:11	1.74	3.60	4.00
2026-09-26 16:42:09	1.74	3.60	4.00
2026-09-26 17:02:09	1.74	3.60	4.00
2026-09-26 17:22:12	1.74	3.60	4.00
2026-09-26 17:42:10	1.74	3.60	4.00
2026-09-26 18:02:10	1.74	3.60	4.00
2026-09-26 18:32:11	1.74	3.60	4.00
2026-09-26 19:02:10	1.74	3.60	4.00
2026-09-26 19:33:16	1.70	3.58	3.99
2026-09-26 19:33:17	1.77	3.61	4.01
2026-09-26 20:03:09	1.72	3.61	4.02
2026-09-26 20:03:10	1.77	3.58	3.97
2026-09-26 20:32:36	1.74	3.60	4.00
2026-09-26 21:03:04	1.73	3.61	3.98
2026-09-26 21:03:05	1.78	3.55	4.10
2026-09-26 21:23:15	1.74	3.60	4.00
2026-09-26 21:42:39	1.71	3.57	3.98
2026-09-26 21:42:40	1.75	3.61	4.00
2026-09-26 22:03:00	1.74	3.60	4.00
2026-09-26 22:23:12	1.80	3.30	3.80
2026-09-26 22:23:13	1.74	3.55	3.91
2026-09-26 22:43:06	1.75	3.52	3.90
2026-09-26 23:03:00	1.75	3.52	3.90
2026-09-26 23:22:47	1.75	3.40	3.95
2026-09-26 23:22:48	1.75	3.55	3.88
2026-09-26 23:42:31	1.73	3.55	3.97
2026-09-26 23:42:32	1.77	3.48	3.81

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.27	Orihuela	1 : 4	Castellón II