LIVE 8 오늘 243경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Spain · Group 3 - 4
PoblenseHOME · 2.20
1 : 02026.09.27 · 종료
Valencia IIAWAY · 3.10
HOME · 현재 순위 17위 승점 0 · 3경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 1 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.9%
DRAW28.1%
AWAY18.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 40.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +12.6%
VALUE EDGE+12.6%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 97/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +34.2%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +36.1%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG AWAY -3.4%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +2.8%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE
Poblense분석 지표Valencia II
41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%
1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.08
1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42
60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.7일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도12.3 / 15
예측 분리도11.0 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME41.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승43.6%표본 163경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승40.5%현재 이동 +5.3%
OPEN → NOW2.09 → 2.20배당 업데이트 2026-09-27 12:23:20

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
53.9%
DRAW
28.1%
AWAY
18.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Poblense
L · 2-0L · 1-2L · 1-0W · 1-0D · 0-0
Valencia II
L · 1-2L · 1-0D · 1-1L · 2-0W · 3-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+10.0%+5.0%0.0%-5.0%-10.0%09/26 00:1509/27 02:2309/27 05:5309/27 09:2309/27 12:23HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-26 00:15:22HOME · 배당 2.12 · 변동 +1.92% · 2026-09-27 00:04:21HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +5.29% · 2026-09-27 00:04:22HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.04% · 2026-09-27 00:23:31HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.04% · 2026-09-27 00:42:57HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.04% · 2026-09-27 01:04:08HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.04% · 2026-09-27 01:23:42HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.04% · 2026-09-27 01:42:23HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.04% · 2026-09-27 02:03:57HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-27 02:23:45HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +4.57% · 2026-09-27 02:23:46HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 02:53:37HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 03:23:38HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 03:52:54HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +5.17% · 2026-09-27 04:23:04HOME · 배당 2.22 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-27 04:23:05HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 04:52:57HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 05:23:03HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 05:53:29HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 06:23:30HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +5.29% · 2026-09-27 06:53:19HOME · 배당 2.22 · 변동 +6.73% · 2026-09-27 06:53:20HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 07:23:08HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +4.97% · 2026-09-27 07:53:33HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 +6.35% · 2026-09-27 07:53:34HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 08:23:52HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 08:52:47HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 09:23:33HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 09:53:19HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 10:22:55HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.69% · 2026-09-27 10:52:54HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 +6.25% · 2026-09-27 10:52:55HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.77% · 2026-09-27 11:23:50HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.84% · 2026-09-27 11:23:51HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.84% · 2026-09-27 11:53:17HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.77% · 2026-09-27 11:53:18HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +5.83% · 2026-09-27 12:23:20DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-26 00:15:22DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-09-27 00:04:21DRAW · 배당 3.08 · 변동 -1.60% · 2026-09-27 00:04:22DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-27 00:23:31DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-27 00:42:57DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-27 01:04:08DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-27 01:23:42DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-27 01:42:23DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-27 02:03:57DRAW · 배당 3.08 · 변동 -1.60% · 2026-09-27 02:23:45DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-09-27 02:23:46DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 02:53:37DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 03:23:38DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 03:52:54DRAW · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -3.68% · 2026-09-27 04:23:04DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.16% · 2026-09-27 04:23:05DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 04:52:57DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 05:23:03DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 05:53:29DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 06:23:30DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -3.10% · 2026-09-27 06:53:19DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-09-27 06:53:20DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 07:23:08DRAW · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -3.57% · 2026-09-27 07:53:33DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.93% · 2026-09-27 07:53:34DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 08:23:52DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 08:52:47DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 09:23:33DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 09:53:19DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 10:22:55DRAW · 배당 3.06 · 변동 -2.24% · 2026-09-27 10:52:54DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.96% · 2026-09-27 10:52:55DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -7.20% · 2026-09-27 11:23:50DRAW · 배당 3.09 · 변동 -1.17% · 2026-09-27 11:23:51DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -2.31% · 2026-09-27 11:53:17DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-09-27 11:53:18DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 12:23:20AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-26 00:15:22AWAY · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -3.61% · 2026-09-27 00:04:21AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -4.67% · 2026-09-27 00:04:22AWAY · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -3.97% · 2026-09-27 00:23:31AWAY · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -3.97% · 2026-09-27 00:42:57AWAY · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -3.97% · 2026-09-27 01:04:08AWAY · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -3.97% · 2026-09-27 01:23:42AWAY · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -3.97% · 2026-09-27 01:42:23AWAY · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -3.97% · 2026-09-27 02:03:57AWAY · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -2.86% · 2026-09-27 02:23:45AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -4.52% · 2026-09-27 02:23:46AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 02:53:37AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 03:23:38AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 03:52:54AWAY · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -7.45% · 2026-09-27 04:23:04AWAY · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -6.10% · 2026-09-27 04:23:05AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 04:52:57AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 05:23:03AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 05:53:29AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 06:23:30AWAY · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -6.39% · 2026-09-27 06:53:19AWAY · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -7.43% · 2026-09-27 06:53:20AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 07:23:08AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 -7.73% · 2026-09-27 07:53:33AWAY · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -6.20% · 2026-09-27 07:53:34AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 08:23:52AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 08:52:47AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 09:23:33AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 09:53:19AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 10:22:55AWAY · 배당 3.09 · 변동 -6.88% · 2026-09-27 10:52:54AWAY · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -6.48% · 2026-09-27 10:52:55AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.63% · 2026-09-27 11:23:50AWAY · 배당 3.09 · 변동 -6.80% · 2026-09-27 11:23:51AWAY · 배당 3.09 · 변동 -7.01% · 2026-09-27 11:53:17AWAY · 배당 3.15 · 변동 -5.12% · 2026-09-27 11:53:18AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.78% · 2026-09-27 12:23:20
HOME37 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.08
→
CURRENT2.20
+5.83%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW37 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.13
→
CURRENT3.07
-1.92%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY37 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.32
→
CURRENT3.10
-6.78%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-26 00:15:222.083.133.32
2026-09-27 00:04:212.123.143.20
2026-09-27 00:04:222.193.083.17
2026-09-27 00:23:312.143.123.19
2026-09-27 00:42:572.143.123.19
2026-09-27 01:04:082.143.123.19
2026-09-27 01:23:422.143.123.19
2026-09-27 01:42:232.143.123.19
2026-09-27 02:03:572.143.123.19
2026-09-27 02:23:452.083.083.23
2026-09-27 02:23:462.183.143.17
2026-09-27 02:53:372.203.073.10
2026-09-27 03:23:382.203.073.10
2026-09-27 03:52:542.203.073.10
2026-09-27 04:23:042.193.013.07
2026-09-27 04:23:052.223.123.12
2026-09-27 04:52:572.203.073.10
2026-09-27 05:23:032.203.073.10
2026-09-27 05:53:292.203.073.10
2026-09-27 06:23:302.203.073.10
2026-09-27 06:53:192.193.033.11
2026-09-27 06:53:202.223.133.07
2026-09-27 07:23:082.203.073.10
2026-09-27 07:53:332.183.013.06
2026-09-27 07:53:342.213.103.11
2026-09-27 08:23:522.203.073.10
2026-09-27 08:52:472.203.073.10
2026-09-27 09:23:332.203.073.10
2026-09-27 09:53:192.203.073.10
2026-09-27 10:22:552.203.073.10
2026-09-27 10:52:542.203.063.09
2026-09-27 10:52:552.213.103.11
2026-09-27 11:23:502.202.903.10
2026-09-27 11:23:512.203.093.09
2026-09-27 11:53:172.203.053.09
2026-09-27 11:53:182.203.153.15
2026-09-27 12:23:202.203.073.10

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.27Poblense1 : 0Valencia II
2026.02.15Valencia II2 : 2Poblense
2025.11.16Poblense1 : 0Valencia II