경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Spain · Group 3 - 3

Atlético BalearesHOME · 2.13
1 : 42026.09.20 · 종료
Ucam MurciaAWAY · 3.30

HOME · 현재 순위
11위
승점 1
· 2경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
9위
승점 3
· 2경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.5%
DRAW15.2%
AWAY10.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH80 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME42.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승33.9%표본 168경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승31.5%현재 이동 +19.0%
OPEN → NOW1.79 → 2.13배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:34:14
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Atlético BalearesD · 2-2L · 1-0W · 0-3W · 0-2W · 1-3
Ucam MurciaW · 1-0L · 2-1L · 1-0L · 1-2L · 4-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME56 SNAPSHOTS
+19.31%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW56 SNAPSHOTS
-5.78%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY56 SNAPSHOTS
-23.34%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-19 12:15:20 | 1.78 | 3.20 | 4.29 |
| 2026-09-20 00:22:48 | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| 2026-09-20 00:22:49 | 1.81 | 3.14 | 4.26 |
| 2026-09-20 00:52:38 | 1.81 | 3.17 | 4.17 |
| 2026-09-20 00:52:39 | 1.80 | 3.14 | 4.31 |
| 2026-09-20 01:22:47 | 1.81 | 3.17 | 4.20 |
| 2026-09-20 03:23:40 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 03:52:49 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 04:23:08 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 04:52:58 | 1.85 | 3.14 | 4.07 |
| 2026-09-20 04:52:59 | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-20 05:22:49 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 05:53:22 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 06:23:29 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 06:53:16 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 07:23:44 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 08:02:30 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 08:42:45 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 09:23:02 | 2.12 | 3.02 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-20 09:23:03 | 2.14 | 2.95 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-20 10:02:31 | 2.13 | 3.00 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-20 10:42:51 | 2.12 | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-20 10:42:52 | 2.18 | 3.00 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-20 11:23:22 | 2.12 | 3.02 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-20 11:23:23 | 2.14 | 2.95 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-20 12:02:23 | 2.13 | 3.00 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-20 12:43:33 | 2.13 | 3.00 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-20 13:22:46 | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-20 13:22:47 | 2.11 | 3.02 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-20 14:02:23 | 2.13 | 3.00 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-20 14:43:06 | 2.13 | 3.00 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-20 15:22:47 | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-20 15:22:48 | 2.12 | 3.03 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-20 15:53:11 | 2.13 | 3.02 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-20 16:23:30 | 2.11 | 3.03 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-20 16:23:31 | 2.16 | 2.99 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-20 16:53:06 | 2.13 | 3.02 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-20 17:24:03 | 2.13 | 3.02 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-20 17:53:22 | 2.13 | 3.02 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-20 17:53:23 | 2.11 | 2.98 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 17:53:24 | 2.14 | 3.04 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-20 18:24:03 | 2.12 | 3.01 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-20 18:24:04 | 2.18 | 3.05 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-20 19:04:05 | 2.13 | 3.02 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-20 19:43:38 | 2.13 | 3.02 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-20 20:23:30 | 2.13 | 3.02 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-20 21:03:31 | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-20 21:03:32 | 2.12 | 3.03 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-20 21:33:22 | 2.11 | 3.03 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-20 21:33:23 | 2.16 | 2.99 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-20 22:03:17 | 2.13 | 3.02 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-20 22:33:50 | 2.11 | 2.98 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 22:33:51 | 2.14 | 3.04 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-20 23:03:05 | 2.10 | 3.01 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-20 23:03:06 | 2.16 | 3.03 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-20 23:34:13 | 2.13 | 3.02 | 3.29 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Atlético Baleares | 1 : 4 | Ucam Murcia |