LIVE 315 오늘 661경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Spain · Group 3 - 1
AlcoyanoHOME · 1.81
1 : 12026.09.06 · 종료
CiezaAWAY · 4.29
HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 10 · 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 8 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.7%
DRAW30.2%
AWAY20.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW30 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 30/100
AI PICK HOME 39.0% CAL
VALUE PICK DRAW +1.6%
VALUE EDGE+1.6%
FAIR ODDS3.31
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 41/100 · HIGH RISK
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
MARKET HOME +29.0%p
SEASON_STATS EVEN +0.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE
Alcoyano분석 지표Cieza
50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 57.1%
0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.43
0.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00
66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%
14.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 14.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

30/100 LOW
데이터 커버리지6.1 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력0.0 / 10
과거 표본2.5 / 10
모델 일치도13.3 / 15
예측 분리도8.3 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME50.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승50.0%표본 90경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.2%현재 이동 +0.6%
OPEN → NOW1.80 → 1.81배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:52:26

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
49.7%
DRAW
30.2%
AWAY
20.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Alcoyano
W · 1-0W · 1-2D · 1-1L · 0-2D · 0-0
Cieza
W · 1-2W · 0-1L · 1-4

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+24.0%+12.0%0.0%-12.0%-24.0%09/05 04:0209/05 08:3209/05 13:5209/05 18:3209/05 23:52HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 04:02:03HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 04:32:04HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 -0.37% · 2026-09-05 05:12:03HOME · 배당 1.82 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 05:12:04HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 05:52:04HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 06:32:03HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 06:32:04HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 07:12:04HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 07:52:05HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 08:32:05HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 -0.37% · 2026-09-05 09:12:04HOME · 배당 1.82 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 09:12:05HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 09:52:05HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 10:32:06HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 11:12:15HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 11:52:11HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 12:32:12HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 13:12:17HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 13:52:14HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 14:32:10HOME · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 15:12:16HOME · 배당 1.67 · 변동 -7.43% · 2026-09-05 15:52:18HOME · 배당 1.67 · 변동 -7.56% · 2026-09-05 16:32:28HOME · 배당 1.68 · 변동 -7.01% · 2026-09-05 16:32:29HOME · 배당 1.67 · 변동 -7.43% · 2026-09-05 17:12:16HOME · 배당 1.67 · 변동 -7.43% · 2026-09-05 17:52:15HOME · 배당 1.67 · 변동 -7.56% · 2026-09-05 18:32:36HOME · 배당 1.68 · 변동 -7.01% · 2026-09-05 18:32:37HOME · 배당 1.67 · 변동 -7.43% · 2026-09-05 19:12:14HOME · 배당 1.67 · 변동 -7.43% · 2026-09-05 19:52:21HOME · 배당 1.67 · 변동 -7.43% · 2026-09-05 20:32:11HOME · 배당 1.67 · 변동 -7.43% · 2026-09-05 21:12:28HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 -0.18% · 2026-09-05 21:52:16HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 -0.18% · 2026-09-05 22:32:28HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 -0.18% · 2026-09-05 23:12:21HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 -0.18% · 2026-09-05 23:52:26DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 04:02:03DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 04:32:04DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -0.26% · 2026-09-05 05:12:03DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-05 05:12:04DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 05:52:04DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 06:32:03DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 06:32:04DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 07:12:04DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 07:52:05DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 08:32:05DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -0.26% · 2026-09-05 09:12:04DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-05 09:12:05DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 09:52:05DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 10:32:06DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 11:12:15DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 11:52:11DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 12:32:12DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 13:12:17DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 13:52:14DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 14:32:10DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 15:12:16DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 +4.23% · 2026-09-05 15:52:18DRAW · 배당 3.38 · 변동 +4.54% · 2026-09-05 16:32:28DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +3.30% · 2026-09-05 16:32:29DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 +4.23% · 2026-09-05 17:12:16DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 +4.23% · 2026-09-05 17:52:15DRAW · 배당 3.38 · 변동 +4.54% · 2026-09-05 18:32:36DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +3.30% · 2026-09-05 18:32:37DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 +4.23% · 2026-09-05 19:12:14DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 +4.23% · 2026-09-05 19:52:21DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 +4.23% · 2026-09-05 20:32:11DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 +4.23% · 2026-09-05 21:12:28DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -1.91% · 2026-09-05 21:52:16DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -1.91% · 2026-09-05 22:32:28DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -1.91% · 2026-09-05 23:12:21DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -1.91% · 2026-09-05 23:52:26AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 04:02:03AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 04:32:04AWAY · 배당 4.03 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-09-05 05:12:03AWAY · 배당 4.13 · 변동 +1.72% · 2026-09-05 05:12:04AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 05:52:04AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 06:32:03AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 06:32:04AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 07:12:04AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 07:52:05AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 08:32:05AWAY · 배당 4.03 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-09-05 09:12:04AWAY · 배당 4.13 · 변동 +1.72% · 2026-09-05 09:12:05AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 09:52:05AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 10:32:06AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 11:12:15AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 11:52:11AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 12:32:12AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 13:12:17AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 13:52:14AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 14:32:10AWAY · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 15:12:16AWAY · 배당 4.81 · 변동 +18.41% · 2026-09-05 15:52:18AWAY · 배당 4.78 · 변동 +17.82% · 2026-09-05 16:32:28AWAY · 배당 4.88 · 변동 +20.20% · 2026-09-05 16:32:29AWAY · 배당 4.81 · 변동 +18.41% · 2026-09-05 17:12:16AWAY · 배당 4.81 · 변동 +18.41% · 2026-09-05 17:52:15AWAY · 배당 4.78 · 변동 +17.82% · 2026-09-05 18:32:36AWAY · 배당 4.88 · 변동 +20.20% · 2026-09-05 18:32:37AWAY · 배당 4.81 · 변동 +18.41% · 2026-09-05 19:12:14AWAY · 배당 4.81 · 변동 +18.41% · 2026-09-05 19:52:21AWAY · 배당 4.81 · 변동 +18.41% · 2026-09-05 20:32:11AWAY · 배당 4.81 · 변동 +18.41% · 2026-09-05 21:12:28AWAY · 배당 4.31 · 변동 +6.16% · 2026-09-05 21:52:16AWAY · 배당 4.31 · 변동 +6.16% · 2026-09-05 22:32:28AWAY · 배당 4.31 · 변동 +6.16% · 2026-09-05 23:12:21AWAY · 배당 4.31 · 변동 +6.16% · 2026-09-05 23:52:26
HOME36 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.81
→
CURRENT1.80
-0.18%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW36 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.23
→
CURRENT3.17
-1.91%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY36 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN4.06
→
CURRENT4.31
+6.16%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-05 04:02:031.813.234.06
2026-09-05 04:32:041.813.234.06
2026-09-05 05:12:031.803.234.03
2026-09-05 05:12:041.823.254.13
2026-09-05 05:52:041.813.234.06
2026-09-05 06:32:031.813.234.06
2026-09-05 06:32:041.813.234.06
2026-09-05 07:12:041.813.234.06
2026-09-05 07:52:051.813.234.06
2026-09-05 08:32:051.813.234.06
2026-09-05 09:12:041.803.234.03
2026-09-05 09:12:051.823.254.13
2026-09-05 09:52:051.813.234.06
2026-09-05 10:32:061.813.234.06
2026-09-05 11:12:151.813.234.06
2026-09-05 11:52:111.813.234.06
2026-09-05 12:32:121.813.234.06
2026-09-05 13:12:171.813.234.06
2026-09-05 13:52:141.813.234.06
2026-09-05 14:32:101.813.234.06
2026-09-05 15:12:161.813.234.06
2026-09-05 15:52:181.673.374.81
2026-09-05 16:32:281.673.384.78
2026-09-05 16:32:291.683.344.88
2026-09-05 17:12:161.673.374.81
2026-09-05 17:52:151.673.374.81
2026-09-05 18:32:361.673.384.78
2026-09-05 18:32:371.683.344.88
2026-09-05 19:12:141.673.374.81
2026-09-05 19:52:211.673.374.81
2026-09-05 20:32:111.673.374.81
2026-09-05 21:12:281.673.374.81
2026-09-05 21:52:161.803.174.31
2026-09-05 22:32:281.803.174.31
2026-09-05 23:12:211.803.174.31
2026-09-05 23:52:261.803.174.31

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.06Alcoyano1 : 1Cieza