경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera Division Nicaragua · Apertura - 8

MatagalpaHOME · 2.00

1 : 02026.09.04 · 종료

UNAN ManaguaAWAY · 3.33

HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 6 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 14 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME10.5%

DRAW26.2%

AWAY63.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +35.8%

VALUE EDGE+35.8%

FAIR ODDS1.58

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -33.3%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -26.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -23.2%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -11.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Matagalpa분석 지표UNAN Managua

27.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

0.82 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33

2.18 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.67

28.6% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%

5.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

75/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지18.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도6.6 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME45.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승51.4%표본 282경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승50.0%현재 이동 -11.1%

OPEN → NOW2.25 → 2.00배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:42:16

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

10.5%

DRAW

26.2%

AWAY

63.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Matagalpa

L · 0-1W · 0-1W · 1-0L · 0-3L · 4-1

UNAN Managua

L · 0-2W · 0-1W · 2-1W · 0-1D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.11

→

CURRENT2.01

-4.85%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.33

→

CURRENT3.38

+1.48%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.05

→

CURRENT3.25

+6.33%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 01:12:54	2.11	3.33	3.05
2026-09-04 01:22:39	2.11	3.33	3.05
2026-09-04 01:32:43	2.11	3.33	3.05
2026-09-04 01:42:43	2.11	3.33	3.05
2026-09-04 01:52:37	2.11	3.33	3.05
2026-09-04 02:02:37	2.11	3.33	3.05
2026-09-04 02:12:43	2.11	3.33	3.05
2026-09-04 02:22:38	2.11	3.33	3.05
2026-09-04 04:02:09	1.99	3.40	3.29
2026-09-04 04:22:10	1.99	3.40	3.29
2026-09-04 04:42:09	2.00	3.40	3.26
2026-09-04 05:02:09	2.00	3.40	3.26
2026-09-04 05:22:09	2.00	3.40	3.26
2026-09-04 05:42:09	1.95	3.33	3.38
2026-09-04 05:42:10	2.01	3.41	3.23
2026-09-04 06:02:10	2.00	3.40	3.26
2026-09-04 06:22:10	2.00	3.40	3.26
2026-09-04 06:42:09	2.00	3.40	3.26
2026-09-04 07:02:09	1.95	3.33	3.38
2026-09-04 07:02:10	2.01	3.41	3.23
2026-09-04 07:22:10	2.00	3.40	3.26
2026-09-04 07:42:10	2.01	3.38	3.24
2026-09-04 08:02:10	2.00	3.35	3.35
2026-09-04 08:02:11	2.01	3.39	3.23
2026-09-04 08:22:11	2.01	3.38	3.24
2026-09-04 08:42:11	2.01	3.38	3.24
2026-09-04 09:02:12	2.01	3.38	3.24
2026-09-04 09:22:11	2.01	3.38	3.24
2026-09-04 09:42:10	2.01	3.38	3.24
2026-09-04 10:02:11	2.01	3.38	3.24
2026-09-04 10:02:12	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 10:22:16	2.01	3.38	3.24
2026-09-04 10:22:17	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 10:42:11	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 11:02:11	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 11:22:14	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 11:42:11	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 12:02:12	2.00	3.35	3.35
2026-09-04 12:02:13	2.01	3.38	3.24
2026-09-04 12:22:12	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 12:42:10	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 13:02:11	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 13:22:12	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 13:42:11	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 14:02:12	2.00	3.28	3.33
2026-09-04 14:02:13	2.01	3.40	3.23
2026-09-04 14:22:12	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 14:42:12	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 15:02:14	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 15:22:12	2.00	3.37	3.25
2026-09-04 15:22:13	2.05	3.40	3.23
2026-09-04 15:42:11	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 16:02:13	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 16:22:13	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 16:42:13	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 17:02:12	2.00	3.33	3.24
2026-09-04 17:02:13	2.02	3.41	3.25
2026-09-04 17:22:15	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 17:42:13	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 18:02:13	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 18:22:14	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 18:42:12	2.00	3.35	3.35
2026-09-04 18:42:13	2.01	3.38	3.24
2026-09-04 19:02:15	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 19:22:15	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 19:42:14	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 20:02:15	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 20:22:14	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 20:42:15	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 21:02:15	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 21:22:17	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 21:42:14	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 22:02:14	2.01	3.33	3.16
2026-09-04 22:02:15	2.01	3.42	3.31
2026-09-04 22:22:18	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 22:42:15	1.99	3.36	3.23
2026-09-04 22:42:16	2.05	3.43	3.29
2026-09-04 23:02:16	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 23:22:16	2.01	3.38	3.25
2026-09-04 23:42:16	2.01	3.38	3.25

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.04	Matagalpa	1 : 0	UNAN Managua