LIVE 23 오늘 293경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Spain · Group 1 - 5
Ourense CFHOME · 1.90
0 : 02026.10.05 · 종료
ArosaAWAY · 3.65
HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 10 · 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 17위 승점 3 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.1%
DRAW25.6%
AWAY30.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW35 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 35/100
AI PICK HOME 36.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +5.7%
VALUE EDGE+5.7%
FAIR ODDS3.29
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 32/100 · HIGH RISK
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG HOME +21.3%p
REST HOME +5.0%p
MARKET HOME +22.8%p
SEASON_STATS HOME +50.5%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE
Ourense CF분석 지표Arosa
50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%
1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.80
1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.80
50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
8.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

35/100 LOW
데이터 커버리지7.0 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력0.0 / 10
과거 표본2.5 / 10
모델 일치도14.1 / 15
예측 분리도5.9 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME47.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승45.5%표본 176경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.5%현재 이동 +0.5%
OPEN → NOW1.89 → 1.90배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:32:44

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
44.1%
DRAW
25.6%
AWAY
30.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Ourense CF
W · 0-1L · 0-2W · 0-2W · 2-1L · 1-0
Arosa
L · 2-5D · 2-2L · 0-4D · 2-2W · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+10.0%+5.0%0.0%-5.0%-10.0%10/03 00:1510/04 10:5310/04 12:1210/04 14:1210/04 15:32HOME · 배당 1.89 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:16HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 09:02:59HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 09:23:25HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 09:52:57HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 10:12:21HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 10:33:05HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 10:53:01HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 11:12:27HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 11:32:56HOME · 배당 1.89 · 변동 +0.06% · 2026-10-04 11:52:41HOME · 배당 1.92 · 변동 +1.48% · 2026-10-04 11:52:42HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 12:12:38HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 12:34:27HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 12:52:40HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 13:12:56HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 13:33:00HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 13:52:40HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 14:12:22HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 14:32:31HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 +3.33% · 2026-10-04 14:53:04HOME · 배당 1.89 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:53:05HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 15:12:20HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-04 15:32:44DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:16DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 09:02:59DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 09:23:25DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 09:52:57DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 10:12:21DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 10:33:05DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 10:53:01DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 11:12:27DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 11:32:56DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -5.00% · 2026-10-04 11:52:41DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 +6.53% · 2026-10-04 11:52:42DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 12:12:38DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 12:34:27DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 12:52:40DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 13:12:56DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 13:33:00DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 13:52:40DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 14:12:22DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 14:32:31DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -8.01% · 2026-10-04 14:53:04DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -1.27% · 2026-10-04 14:53:05DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 15:12:20DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-10-04 15:32:44AWAY · 배당 3.69 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:16AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 09:02:59AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 09:23:25AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 09:52:57AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 10:12:21AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 10:33:05AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 10:53:01AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 11:12:27AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 11:32:56AWAY · 배당 3.55 · 변동 -3.84% · 2026-10-04 11:52:41AWAY · 배당 3.73 · 변동 +1.08% · 2026-10-04 11:52:42AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 12:12:38AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 12:34:27AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 12:52:40AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 13:12:56AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 13:33:00AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 13:52:40AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 14:12:22AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 14:32:31AWAY · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -5.15% · 2026-10-04 14:53:04AWAY · 배당 3.61 · 변동 -2.25% · 2026-10-04 14:53:05AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 15:12:20AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-10-04 15:32:44
HOME23 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.89
→
CURRENT1.90
+0.42%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW23 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.37
→
CURRENT3.30
-2.11%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY23 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.69
→
CURRENT3.59
-2.61%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:15:161.893.373.69
2026-10-04 09:02:591.903.303.59
2026-10-04 09:23:251.903.303.59
2026-10-04 09:52:571.903.303.59
2026-10-04 10:12:211.903.303.59
2026-10-04 10:33:051.903.303.59
2026-10-04 10:53:011.903.303.59
2026-10-04 11:12:271.903.303.59
2026-10-04 11:32:561.903.303.59
2026-10-04 11:52:411.893.203.55
2026-10-04 11:52:421.923.593.73
2026-10-04 12:12:381.903.303.59
2026-10-04 12:34:271.903.303.59
2026-10-04 12:52:401.903.303.59
2026-10-04 13:12:561.903.303.59
2026-10-04 13:33:001.903.303.59
2026-10-04 13:52:401.903.303.59
2026-10-04 14:12:221.903.303.59
2026-10-04 14:32:311.903.303.59
2026-10-04 14:53:041.953.103.50
2026-10-04 14:53:051.893.333.61
2026-10-04 15:12:201.903.303.59
2026-10-04 15:32:441.903.303.59

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.05Ourense CF0 : 0Arosa