Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Israel Cup Israel

Nes ZionaHOME · -

88 : 792024.03.28 · 종료

H. AfulaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY49.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +50.7%

VALUE EDGE+50.7%

FAIR ODDS1.97

GRADEA

Nes ZionaAnalysis MetricsH. Afula

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-4.75 Point MarginHigher is better -3.92

166.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.42

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.5 / 15

Prediction separation0.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

50.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

49.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Nes Ziona

L · 74-76W · 63-67L · 79-83L · 81-73L · 104-82

H. Afula

L · 80-97L · 95-78W · 72-60W · 79-94W · 91-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.03	H. Afula	85 : 74	Nes Ziona
2024.03.28	Nes Ziona	88 : 79	H. Afula
2024.01.09	H. Afula	82 : 64	Nes Ziona
2023.10.06	Nes Ziona	77 : 73	H. Afula