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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · Super League - Semi-finals
Chemidor TehranHOME · -
72 : 812022.04.08 · 종료
Shahrdari GorganAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.7%
VALUE EDGE+57.7%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Chemidor TehranAnalysis MetricsShahrdari Gorgan
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+16.08 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25
149.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.08
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
10.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation6.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chemidor Tehran
W · 87-100W · 81-71W · 44-95W · 90-72W · 68-70
Shahrdari Gorgan
W · 73-77W · 75-66W · 57-89W · 80-71W · 73-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.15Shahrdari Gorgan84 : 82Chemidor Tehran
2022.04.13Chemidor Tehran75 : 71Shahrdari Gorgan
2022.04.08Chemidor Tehran72 : 81Shahrdari Gorgan