Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Iran
Exxon TehranHOME · -
57 : 892022.03.17 · 종료
Shahrdari GorganAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME14.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY85.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+85.6%
VALUE EDGE+85.6%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEA
Exxon TehranAnalysis MetricsShahrdari Gorgan
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-13.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
147.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.08
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Exxon Tehran
L · 80-71L · 88-82W · 64-69L · 51-81W · 81-67
Shahrdari Gorgan
W · 80-71W · 73-77L · 95-99W · 51-81W · 78-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.03.17 | Exxon Tehran | 57 : 89 | Shahrdari Gorgan |
| 2022.03.15 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 80 : 71 | Exxon Tehran |
| 2022.01.22 | Exxon Tehran | 51 : 81 | Shahrdari Gorgan |
| 2022.01.12 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 88 : 61 | Exxon Tehran |